Here is a look at what the other big 3 models are thinking right now - they only go out till the 23/24th, but have a look.
http://meteocentre.com/models/modelsgem_e.html
GEM (Canadian) - 12z
May 23 - upper trough approaching the rockies, with some hint at storms across the western part of the northern plains, through eastern WY and western NE and SD
May 24 - Shows a good upper trough swinging through SD and into northern NE - this is good to see, and in line with GFS thinking...
ECMWF (European) - 0z
(last panel)
May 23 - Seems to be a little quicker with the trough than the GEM and GFS, arriving it more on this day than the 24th, it also seems a little weaker...
UKMO (UK Met Office) - 0z
(last panel)
May 23 - Looks like this one is in line with GFS/GEM thinking having a decent upper trough over the Rockies setting up for a trough in the upper plains on the 24th.
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