Saturday, May 13, 2006

Model Analysis, May 13th.

Sorry - I missed a few days....

May 21 - Northwesterly flow over the northern plains, could provide for some MCS development across IA, WI and IL - but wont be chasing anyway.

May 22 - Vort max over the northwest - but slight ridging across the plains could allow for some northwesterly flow convection, but not likely to be a good chase day.

May 23 - Zonal flow

May 24 - Zonal flow

May 25 - Yuck, zonal flow continues across the plains.

May 26 - Ridge over the plains not looking good - troughing beginning to show up off the west coast though - could be signs of good things to come??

May 27 - Upper low beginning to affect the west coast of the US - but still significant ridging across the plains, unlikely to allow for any severe development.

May 28 - Large trough setting up in the west at the 500mb level, but slp chart shows not significant precip in the plains, this is looking better for the last couple of days of May though.

All in all, I am not impressed, hopefully things will change, or that at least the last few days of May could get active with this low in the SW.

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