Monday, May 15, 2006

Model Analysis, May 15th.

0z GFS

Some Excitement!!!

May 21 - Ridging still prevelant through the plains on the 21st, but a quick look off the west coast gives some excitement of whats to come...

May 22 - Trough begins to dig into southern California and AZ, still significant ridging through the plains, but this looks like the last day, before the pattern starts to break down.

May 23 - This is the day, trough swings through northern NM and southern CO allowing for a severe weather possiblity through western KS , panhandle TX and OK. This is the best day I have seen on the GFS in this period since I have been monitoring its progress around may 7th.

May 24 - The trough swings through the northern plains giving the continued risk of severe weather through MN...at least its something.

May 25 - Vorticity begins to move away over the Great Lakes, with ridging beginning to move back over the plains.

May 26 - Ridging over much of the plains, but trough swinging across the northern plains could bring the risk of some severe weather across ND. (a bit too far north for me probably - unless it looks nastier than this)

May 27 - Probably the 2nd best chase day I have seen as this vort max treks a bit further east, providing a good severe weather risk through northern MN.

May 28 - Omega block over almost all of the plains.

May 29 - Still a ridge through the plains, not a good chase day.

May 30 - ridging, not good for chasing.

2 comments:

Anonymous said...

Great site loved it alot, will come back and visit again.
»

Anonymous said...

This site is one of the best I have ever seen, wish I had one like this.
»